Respuesta :
Random match probability is the correct answer.
Random match probability (RMP) tells us the chance of making a mistake. RMP gives the probability that someone unrelated to the defendant matches the DNA. The strength of evidence, or likelihood ratio (LR), is one over the RMP.
Use a population database to first determine the allele frequencies of the various alleles present at a locus before calculating the likelihood of a random match. RMP requires databases that take into consideration the many ethnic and racial subgroups within a population since some alleles are more prevalent in some groups than others. This indicates that even though two people share the same genotype, the random match probability for someone of Caucasian heritage may differ from that of someone of African American descent. To get the RMP at a specific locus, multiply the frequencies of the alleles existing there by the appropriate database.
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