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cores on a certain test are normally distributed with a variance of 22. a researcher wishes to estimate the mean score achieved by all adults on the test. find the sample size needed to assure with 95 percent confidence that the sample mean will not differ from the population mean by more than 2 units.

Respuesta :

The sample size such that the sample mean does not differ by more than 2 units is 21.12

confidence level = 95 percent = 0.95

Let the sample size be n

where z_α/2 is the critical value at α/2

standard deviation = σ

we know standard deviation = √variance = √22 = 4.69

The margin of error E = 2

for 95% confidence level α = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05

z_(0.05/2) = z_ 0.025 = 1.96

μ is the mean of the test scores

We need to find the sample size n such that probability

P(| x - μ| < 2) = 0.95

⇒P(-2 < x - μ < 2) = 0.95

⇒P( -2/σ/√n < x -μ / (σ/√n) < 2/σ/√n) = 0.95

⇒P( -2√n / σ < z < 2√n / σ) = 0.95      (because z = x- μ / (σ/√n) )     (1)

Consider

P(- z_α/2 < z < z_α/2) = 0.95

⇒P( -1.96 < z < 1.96) =0.95          (2)

From (1) and (2)

2√n / σ = 1.96

⇒n = (1.96 * σ / 2)² = (1.96 * 4.69 / 2 )² = 21.12

Thus the sample size n = 21.12

A problem based on confidence level

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