Out of 2000 pizzas he sells next time he should expect 797 stuffed crust or pan style. This can be obtained by using formula of probability and multiplying the total number of pizzas.
Find the expected value:
The formula for Expected value:
EV = P(X) × n
where EV is the expected value and P(X) is the probability of X and n is the total number.
In the question it is given that,
- Thin crust ⇒ number of thin crust sold = 307
- Thick crust ⇒ number of thick crust sold = 224
- Stuffed crust ⇒ number of stuffed crust sold = 161
- Pan style ⇒ number of pan style sold = 191
First we have to find the probability of stuffed crust or pan style,
P( stuffed crust or pan style) = P(stuffed crust) + P(pan style)
The number of stuffed crust and pan style = 161 + 191 = 352
The total number of crusts sold are ⇒ 307 + 224 + 161 + 191 = 883
⇒ P( stuffed crust or pan style) = 161/883 + 191/883
= 352/883
The expected value of stuffed crust or pan style,
n = 2000, P(X) = 352/883
EV = P(X) × n = (352/883) × 2000 = 797.28 ≈ 797
Hence out of 2000 pizzas he sells next time he should expect 797 stuffed crust or pan style.
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