Forty percent of the beads in a bag of more than 10,000 beads are yellow. Suzy pulls out 10 beads, one at a time with replacement, and notes that eight of these beads are yellow. She says the next bead pulled out will not be yellow because a yellow bead has been pulled out too many times in a row.Is Suzy’s reasoning correct?

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MrsCA

Answer:

No, it is true that the probability of pulling a yellow bead is 0.40, but Suzy should not expect that exactly 40% of such a small number of beads pulled will be yellow. A large city's transit department claims that only 10% of city buses run off schedule.

Answer:

D I believe

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