Samples of emissions from three suppliers are classified for conformance to air-quality specifications. The results from 100 samples are summarized as follows:

conforms
yes no
1 22 8
supplier 2 25 5
3 30 10

Let A denote the event that a sample is from supplier 1, and let B denote the event that a sample from any supplier conforms to specifications. If a disk is selected at random, determine the following probabilities.

a. P(A)=0.3
b. P(B)=0.77
c. P(A ∩ B) =0.22
d. P(A U B)=0.85

Respuesta :

Answer

[tex]P(A) = 0.30[/tex]

[tex]P(B) = 0.77[/tex]

[tex]P(A\ n\ B) = 0.22[/tex]

[tex]P(A\ u\ B) = 0.85[/tex]

Explanation:

Given

See attachment for proper data presentation

[tex]n = 100[/tex] --- Sample

A = Supplier 1

B = Conforms to specification

Solving (a): P(A)

Here, we only consider data in sample 1 row.

Here:

[tex]Yes = 22[/tex] and [tex]No = 8[/tex]

[tex]n(A) = Yes + No[/tex]

[tex]n(A) = 22 + 8[/tex]

[tex]n(A) = 30[/tex]

P(A) is then calculated as:

[tex]P(A) = \frac{n(A)}{Sample}[/tex]

[tex]P(A) = \frac{30}{100}[/tex]

[tex]P(A) = 0.30[/tex]

Solving (b): P(B)

We only consider data in the Yes column.

Here:

[tex](1) = 22[/tex]    [tex](2) = 25[/tex] and [tex](3) = 30[/tex]

[tex]n(B) = (1) + (2) + (3)[/tex]

[tex]n(B) = 22 + 25 + 30[/tex]

[tex]n(B) = 77[/tex]

P(B) is then calculated as:

[tex]P(B) = \frac{n(B)}{Sample}[/tex]

[tex]P(B) = \frac{77}{100}[/tex]

[tex]P(B) = 0.77[/tex]

Solving (c): P(A n B)

Here, we only consider the similar cell in the yes column and sample 1 row.

i.e. [Supplier 1][Yes]

This is represented as: n(A n B)

[tex]n(A\ n\ B) = 22[/tex]

The probability is then calculated as:

[tex]P(A\ n\ B) = \frac{n(A\ n\ B)}{Sample}[/tex]

[tex]P(A\ n\ B) = \frac{22}{100}[/tex]

[tex]P(A\ n\ B) = 0.22[/tex]

Solving (d): P(A u B)

This is calculated as:

[tex]P(A\ u\ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A\ n\ B)[/tex]

This gives:

[tex]P(A\ u\ B) = \frac{30}{100} + \frac{77}{100} - \frac{22}{100}[/tex]

Take LCM

[tex]P(A\ u\ B) = \frac{30+77-22}{100}[/tex]

[tex]P(A\ u\ B) = \frac{85}{100}[/tex]

[tex]P(A\ u\ B) = 0.85[/tex]

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