Jane wants to estimate the proportion of students on her campus who eat cauliflower. After surveying 24 ​students, she finds 2 who eat cauliflower. Obtain and interpret a 95​% confidence interval for the proportion of students who eat cauliflower on​ Jane's campus using Agresti and​ Coull's method.
Construct and interpret the 95​% confidence interval. Select the correct choice below and fill in the answer boxes within your choice.
​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)
A. The proportion of students who eat cauliflower on​ Jane's campus is between___ and __ 95​% of the time.
B.There is a 95​% chance that the proportion of students who eat cauliflower in​ Jane's sample is between __ and __.
C. There is a 95​% chance that the proportion of students who eat cauliflower on​ Jane's campus is between __ and__.
D. One is 95​% confident that the proportion of students who eat cauliflower on​ Jane's campus is between __ and __.

Respuesta :

Answer:

A 95​% confidence interval for the proportion of students who eat cauliflower on​ Jane's campus is [0.012, 0.270].

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given that Jane wants to estimate the proportion of students on her campus who eat cauliflower. After surveying 24 ​students, she finds 2 who eat cauliflower.

Firstly, the pivotal quantity for finding the confidence interval for the population proportion is given by;

                              P.Q.  =  [tex]\frac{\hat p-p}{\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex]  ~ N(0,1)

where, [tex]\hat p[/tex] = sample proportion of students who eat cauliflower

           n = sample of students

           p = population proportion of students who eat cauliflower

Here for constructing a 95% confidence interval we have used a One-sample z-test for proportions.

So, 95% confidence interval for the population proportion, p is ;

P(-1.96 < N(0,1) < 1.96) = 0.95  {As the critical value of z at 2.5% level

                                                   of significance are -1.96 & 1.96}  

P(-1.96 < [tex]\frac{\hat p-p}{\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex] < 1.96) = 0.95

P( [tex]-1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex] < [tex]{\hat p-p}[/tex] < [tex]1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex] ) = 0.95

P( [tex]\hat p-1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex] < p < [tex]\hat p+1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex] ) = 0.95

Now, in Agresti and​ Coull's method; the sample size and the sample proportion is calculated as;

[tex]n = n + Z^{2}__(\frac{_\alpha}{2})[/tex]

n = [tex]24 + 1.96^{2}[/tex] = 27.842

[tex]\hat p = \frac{x+\frac{Z^{2}__(\frac{\alpha}{2}_) }{2} }{n}[/tex] = [tex]\hat p = \frac{2+\frac{1.96^{2} }{2} }{27.842}[/tex] = 0.141

95% confidence interval for p = [ [tex]\hat p-1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex] , [tex]\hat p+1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex] ]

 = [ [tex]0.141 -1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{0.141(1-0.141)}{27.842} } }[/tex] , [tex]0.141 +1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{0.141(1-0.141)}{27.842} } }[/tex] ]

 = [0.012, 0.270]

Therefore, a 95​% confidence interval for the proportion of students who eat cauliflower on​ Jane's campus [0.012, 0.270].

The interpretation of the above confidence interval is that we are 95​% confident that the proportion of students who eat cauliflower on​ Jane's campus is between 0.012 and 0.270.

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