⦁ In a simple random sample of 1219 US adults, 354 said that their favorite sport to watch is football. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in the United States whose favorite sport to watch is football.

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Answer:

95% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in the United States whose favorite sport to watch is football is [0.265 , 0.316].

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given that in a simple random sample of 1219 US adults, 354 said that their favorite sport to watch is football.

Firstly, the pivotal quantity for 95% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in the United States whose favorite sport to watch is football is given by;

        P.Q. = [tex]\frac{\hat p-p}{\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex] ~ N(0,1)

where, [tex]\hat p[/tex] = proportion of adults in the United States whose favorite sport to watch is football in a sample of 1219 adults = [tex]\frac{354}{1219}[/tex]

           n = sample of US adults  = 1291

           p = population proportion of adults

Here for constructing 95% confidence interval we have used One-sample z proportion statistics.

So, 95% confidence interval for the population proportion, p is ;

P(-1.96 < N(0,1) < 1.96) = 0.95  {As the critical value of z at 2.5%

                                                    significance level are -1.96 & 1.96}

P(-1.96 < [tex]\frac{\hat p-p}{\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} } }[/tex] < 1.96) = 0.95

P( [tex]-1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} }[/tex] < [tex]{\hat p-p}[/tex] < [tex]1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} }[/tex] ) = 0.95

P( [tex]\hat p-1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} }[/tex] < p < [tex]\hat p+1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} }[/tex] ) = 0.95

95% confidence interval for p = [ [tex]\hat p-1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} }[/tex] , [tex]\hat p+1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} }[/tex] ]

                         = [ [tex]\frac{354}{1219}-1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\frac{354}{1219}(1-\frac{354}{1219})}{1219} }[/tex] , [tex]\frac{354}{1219}+1.96 \times {\sqrt{\frac{\frac{354}{1219}(1-\frac{354}{1219})}{1219} }[/tex] ]

                         = [0.265 , 0.316]

Therefore, 95% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in the United States whose favorite sport to watch is football is [0.265 , 0.316].

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