The Centers for Disease Control reported the percentage of people 18 years of age and older who smoke (CDC website, December 14, 2014). Suppose that a study designed to collect new data on smokers and nonsmokers uses a preliminary estimate of the proportion who smoke of .31. a. How large a sample should be taken to estimate the proportion of smokers in the population with a margin of error of .02 (to the nearest whole number)? Use 95% confidence.

Respuesta :

Answer:   2056

Step-by-step explanation:

The formula for margin of error for population proportion  :-

[tex]E=z_{\alpha/2}\times\sqrt{\dfrac{p(1-p)}{n}}[/tex]

Given : Significance level : [tex]\alpha = 1-0.95=0.05[/tex]

Critical value : [tex]z_{0.025}=1.96[/tex]      

The proportion of people smoke : p=0.31.

Margin of error : E= 0.02

Substitute all the value in the above formula, we get

[tex]0.02=1.96\times\sqrt{\dfrac{0.31(0.69)}{n}}\\\\\Rightarrow\0.0102=\sqrt{\dfrac{0.2139}{n}} [/tex]

Squaring both sides , we get

[tex]0.00010404=\dfrac{0.2139}{n}\\\\\Rightarrow\ n=\dfrac{0.2139}{0.00010404}=2055.9400230\approx2056[/tex]

Hence, the required sample size = 2056

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