The probability of buying a movie ticket with a popcorn coupon is 0.629 and without a popcorn coupon is 0.371. If you buy 29 movie tickets, we want to know the probability that more than 16 of the tickets have popcorn coupons. Consider tickets with popcorn coupons as successes in the binomial distribution. Give the numerical value of the parameter p in this binomial distribution scenario.

Respuesta :

LRev

Answer:

The probability[tex]0.75095[/tex] and the parameter [tex]p=0.629[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

The formula for probability  in a binomial distribution is:

[tex]b(x;n,p)=\frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}\ast p^{x}\ast(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

where p is the probability of success (ticket with popcorn coupon), n is the number of trials (tickets bought) and x the number of successes desired. In this case p=0.629 (probability of buying a movie ticket with coupon), n=29,  and x=17,18,19, ...29.

[tex]b(17;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{17!(29-17)!}\ast0.629^{17}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-17}=0.133\,25\\ b(18;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{18!(29-18)!}\ast0.629^{18}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-18}=0.150\,61[/tex]

[tex]b(19;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{19!(29-19)!}\ast0.629^{19}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-19}=0.147\,84\\ b(20;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{20!(29-20)!}\ast0.629^{20}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-20}=0.125\,32 \\ b(21;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{21!(29-21)!}\ast0.629^{21}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-21}=0.091\,06 \\ b(22;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{22!(29-22)!}\ast0.629^{22}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-22}=0.056\,14[/tex]

[tex]b(23;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{23!(29-23)!}\ast0.629^{23}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-23}=2.896\,8\times10^{-2} \\ b(24;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{24!(29-24)!}\ast0.629^{24}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-24}=1.227\,8\times10^{-2}\\ b(25;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{25!(29-25)!}\ast0.629^{25}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-25}=4.163\,4\times10^{-3} \\ b(26;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{26!(29-26)!}\ast0.629^{26}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-26}=1.085\,9\times10^{-3} \\ b(27;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{27!(29-27)!}\ast0.629^{27}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-27}=2.045\,7\times10^{-4}[/tex]

[tex]b(28;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{28!(29-28)!}\ast0.629^{28}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-28}=2.477\,4\times10^{-5} \\ b(29;29,0.629)=\frac{29!}{29!(29-29)!}\ast0.629^{29}\ast(1-0.629)^{29-29}=1.448\,3\times10^{-6}[/tex]

The probability of more than 16 is equal to the sum of the probability of x=17, 17,18,19, ...29.

[tex]b(x>16;29,0.629)=0.13325+0.15061+0.14784+0.12532+0.09106+0.05614+2.8968\times10^{-2}+1.2278\times10^{-2}+4.1634\times10^{-3}+1.0859\times10^{-3}+2.0457\times10^{-4}+2.4774\times10^{-5}+1.4483\times10^{-6}=0.75095[/tex]