ellen's best friend won the lottery with the numbers 4, 8, 15, 16, 23, 42. now, ellen buys a lottery ticket every day choosing these same numbers because she is convinced that she, too, will win. what error in judgment is ellen making? multiple choice the likelihood of the same numbers winning again is significantly less than other number combinations. rare, but highly memorable, events that come to mind easily act so as to increase our beliefs they will happen again even when they don't. ellen is mistakenly relying on the consistency heuristic and should pick different numbers each day. ellen is basing her decisions on too large a sample size.
