Homework M3 Assignment 1 Question 2, Problem 12 HW Score: 37.5%, 15 of 40 points O Points: 0 of 20 Save The number of heart surgeries performed at Heartvile General Hospital has increased sisadly over the past several years. The hospita's administration is seeking the best method to forecast the demand for such surgeries in year. The data fo the past five yours are shown below 5 Year 1 Demand 2 3 4 50 53 55 56 The hospha's administration is considering the folowing forecasting methods. Bagin eror messurement in year 3, so all methods are compared for the same years. 0.6. Let the initial forecast for year 1 be 42, the same as the actual demand 1 Exponential smoothing, with a il Exponential smoothing with a M. Trend projection with regression 09. Let the initial forecast for y 1 be 42, the same as the actual demand iv. Two year moving average w. Two-year weighted moving average, using weights 0.6 and 0.4, with the more recent dela given more weight. IMAQ is the performance ofterion chosen by the administration, which forecasting method should choose?